Arctic summers ice-free by 2013?
Scientists begin to realize their
conclusions are too conservative.
Scientists in the US have presented one of the most
dramatic forecasts yet for the disappearance of Arctic sea
ice.
Their latest modelling studies indicate northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years.
Professor Wieslaw Maslowski told an American Geophysical Union meeting that previous projections had underestimated the processes now driving ice loss…
“Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007,” the researcher from the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, explained to the BBC.
“So given that fact, you can argue that maybe our projection of 2013 is already too conservative.”
Lockstep reactionaries may as well skip the article - and Maslowski’s criticism of his own work as being too conservative. Plus, why the IPCC uses “averaged” projections which also may be too conservative.
Their latest modelling studies indicate northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years.
Professor Wieslaw Maslowski told an American Geophysical Union meeting that previous projections had underestimated the processes now driving ice loss…
“Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007,” the researcher from the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, explained to the BBC.
“So given that fact, you can argue that maybe our projection of 2013 is already too conservative.”
Lockstep reactionaries may as well skip the article - and Maslowski’s criticism of his own work as being too conservative. Plus, why the IPCC uses “averaged” projections which also may be too conservative.
Posted: Fri - December 14, 2007 at 09:45 AM