China replaces US as steadying force in the global economyChina replaces US as steadying force in the
global economy
![]() The changing balance of power in the world economy
has seen China replace a faltering United States as the biggest contributor to global growth in an
“uncertain and potentially difficult period”, reports the
International Monetary Fund.
Unveiling its half-yearly forecasts, the IMF said the world was increasingly dependent on the strong performance of the three leading developing countries - China, India and Russia - at a time when the west was struggling to cope with financial market turmoil. The IMF’s world economic outlook said that growth rates of more than 11% in China, 9% in India and almost 8% in Russia meant the three nations “alone accounted for one half of global growth over the past year”. “Like a forest that has not seen a fire in many years, a benign financial environment had built up a sizeable ‘underbrush’ of risky loans, relaxed lending standards and high leverage in certain areas. When problems ignited in the US sub-prime mortgage market, the fire ‘jumped’ in somewhat surprising ways to other areas.” Nice turn of phrase. And permits for housing starts dropped another 10% in the last month. We can look ahead to the Bush Administration and their 19th Century experts guaranteeing that the catchphrase for the 2008 election will be - once again - “It’s the economy, stupid!” Posted: Thu - October 18, 2007 at 09:40 AM |